Jordan Peterson

One of the core ideas of Mr. Peterson is that ancients viewed as the world as a place to act properly, whereas the modernists view the world as a place of things to be explored with science. He also believes the ancients encoded the ideal ways to act in stories which do not lose meaning over time despite changing circumstances. These stories reappear over and over again throughout time simply because they have the ability to stand the test of time. They tell a common story that I paraphrase thusly:

The ideal way to act is to balance between chaos and order in all realms. Order, and consequent traditions that maintain such order, arise from the chaos of the past. People mindlessly follow such traditions until circumstances change and and then we have to rediscover why, the traditions that helped us, create the order we enjoy today, but are in the risk of losing due to changing circumstances. Once we discover the real reason why traditions used to work, we have to modernize tradition so as to create new traditions.

My personal view of Jordan Peterson is that he is far too optimistic about the human ability to engineer new traditions by understanding old traditions (or as he says it: saving the father from the underworld). Traditions arise from experimentation and variance in behavioral norms of which some survive the test of time by creating societies that stand the test of time. The societies that fail to come up with a workable set of behavioral norms and incentives will perish.

Now that agriculture is industrialized we no longer need half the people to work in it, and therefore more hands don’t mean more food. So we no longer need to make 10 children (of which only 3 would have survived), and that means women do not have to spend their entire lifetime giving birth and raising children, and they are free to be financially independent enough to not need men out of economic necessity but only out of sentiment, which is why other sentiment based lifestyles are also gaining popularity. No longer can children start working as soon as they can sow and reap, so they need to spend their parent’s dime learning for 20 years before they can be financially independent. This makes children expensive, and discourages childbirth and also makes young adults promiscuous before they leave their parents. Fewer expensive children also lead to labor shortages that need to be met using immigration.

The traditions that encouraged women to stay home and be economically dependent to men and raise 10 children, who start working in farms when they are children, and become economically self-sufficient and married in their teens before they have a chance to be promiscuous is no longer relevant.

But other traditions like saying truth all the time, and similar lessons will still stand the test of time.

Perhaps this is a form of saving the father from the belly of the whale or underworld as ancient myths would want us to do.

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MH17 is MH370

What if MH370 was renamed to MH17 and filled with dead bodies and shot down over Ukrainian skies using Soviet-era Buk missiles made by Ukrainians (Ukraine was the largest weapons manufacturing place for the Soviets) and said missile attack was blamed on modern Russia led by Putin so as to justify NATO intervention against a pro-Russian government established in northern Ukraine. All of this part of surrounding Russia with NATO weapons and NATO aligned nations.

Tweets predicted MH17 incident 1 month prior: https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/malaysia-airlines-mh17-plane-crash-3883544

Also, ever just noticed both MH370 and MH17 are both Boeing 777-200ER models? And MH17 was shot down a few months after MH370.

Its a popular theory in Malaysia the MH370 went to Pakistan because it contained something.

The psychologist counseling the victims is a friend of my friend.

There are Malaysian victims who are completely gone missing to their families. What better way than to recycle those same missing people now dead as passengers of MH17

And now we hear this:

MH370: Four-year hunt ends after private search is completed
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-44285241

Case closed. The science is settled.

Blockchain cannot cure Cancer

Anytime there is a new technology that people do not understand, people immediately assume it can solve their problems too. It happened during the Atomic Age, and in the Space Age. This attitude is not to blamed because without it we will never be curious enough to adopt a new technique.

Blockchain can help track and transfer ownership of assets, ensure scarcity or uniqueness of digital information (like votes), and also store information in a way that cannot be altered ever. All of this comes at a price, the auditors of the network has to be paid in an asset managed on the same blockchain, and also everyone has to have a copy of all the information on the blockchain in a way that they too can view its content.

If any of these prerequisites are violated, the blockchain immediately becomes a very shitty database, and ordinary databases will be able to beat its features with ease.

Galatians 3:16 shows Paul doesn’t know Hebrew

Galatians 3:16 uses an incorrect argument that reveals that Paul doesn’t know Hebrew. He assumes Hebrew has the plural of the word seed. It doesn’t. Throughout the Old Testament, we only talk about seed, not seeds, because it is written in Hebrew. For someone like Paul who claimed to be a student of Gamaliel and the Pharisee of Pharisees, his understanding of Hebrew is pretty bad. He would have used a Greek translation like Septuagint to make a point about how Jesus was the Jewish Messiah.

If Paul knowingly used a Greek translation and claimed to be a student of Gamaliel who doesn’t know Hebrew but says he is Jewish, it makes the whole tale look fishy.

Speculation:

I wouldn’t be surprised if the Romans sent Paul to infiltrate the Jewish culture and neuter it’s various Messianic anti-Roman rebels by creating a pro-Roman flavor of the Jewish religion.

For an initially Jewish movement, the stories about Jesus and his followers seem surprisingly pro-Roman, set in a time when the Jewish militants were resisting the Roman rule.

The Jews have in the Old Testament killed their other prophets, and their God punished them for it until they repented and returned to their God. So I wouldn’t be surprised if pro-Roman people like Paul and other New Testament authors used the story of Jews (not Romans) killing Jesus as a reason why they were starved killed when the Second Temple was destroyed.

How Black & Scholes is used

If you had an uncalibrated weighing machine do you use it to find “the true weight” or do you use to “find if you are losing weight and if your friends are heavier than you”?

Surely you would use it only to compare weights or how the weight has changed. Because the machine is uncalibrated it cannot be used to find the true weight.

Black & Scholes is an uncalibrated instrument that can tell the fair price of an option. It is uncalibrated because the market doesn’t always move in a geometric Brownian motion.

So people use it to compare prices of options or the price of the same option under different market conditions.

The various Greeks show how sensitive the price of an option is to various market conditions like directional movements (delta), days to expiry (theta), volatility (Vega). Gamma shows how erratic the price of an option is as the underlying moves around.

Even these sensitivities are only accurate in the intuitive sense because in a trending market (autocorrelation) geometric Brownian motion is not followed the black and Scholes misestimates everything.

One of the main other uses of Black and Scholes is to calculate what the volatility would have been had everyone used Black and Scholes and had the prices moved in a geometric Brownian motion. This is possible because every other parameter of Black and Scholes model is known to all market participants. All that is unknown is how much volatility does everyone expect when pricing their options. Again here we have not concerned with the numerical volatility everyone expects. We are only concerned about how everyone ranks against each other and over time in terms of future volatility they expect. This is why implied volatility rank is more important than the true volatility.

Reports of AI and automation are inflated

One of the grand prophesies of socialism is that eventually capitalism will lead to workers not being paid enough to consume, and workers taking control of the means to production and the creation of classless society. Others believe in the prophecy that automation will lead to universal basic income being needed which leads to workers getting paid to do nothing so that they can keep consuming the products of capital. Still others believe widespread acceptance of climate change and the resulting fear will lead to people ditching oil backed economy which will be made to pay for a socialist egalitarian utopia. Still others hope in a border less hemispheric common marketplace which make all people follow the path taken by the West which will lead to socialism too.

The central hope in the coming of this rapture to work free border less eco friendly paradise is very religious, self fulfilling and there are powerful people who want it to happen.

This hope in the second coming of socialism is what lies at the root of overinflated claims about automation. This is what is behind the hopes that the coming of AI is just around the corner when we will finally not have to toil anymore and that this AI will work for our pleasure so that we can consume freely without ruining the environment.

Unfortunately no matter what prophecies say, the current state of automation and AI is unprincipled and will not hasten the arrival of a work free utopia. When AI is finally realized it wouldn’t even be a genie that grants our wishes. It will be a god and much like the gods of religion its behaviour will be absurd.

God acts in mysterious ways.

The allegory hidden in the movie Downsizing

TL;DR:

The movie is making fun of leftism. It uses allegory to get around the censorship from the Left. It will make sense if you think of:

  • Downsizing as all forms of leftism: progressivism, environmentalism, communism, globalism etc.
  • Matt Damon’s character as the naive American everyman who marvels at all progress whether good or bad.
  • Scandinavian villagers as people who are the radical left democratic socialists who believe who in many leftist utopian visions.
  • Vietnamese immigrant refugee maid as the true activist/leftist who really wants to help people without believing in any ideology/agenda. i.e. good old fashioned Charity.

Downsizing (2017) is not as this New York Times review suggested disappointing. I am sure the reviewer was expecting a movie that preaches the virtues of the Left like environmentalism and anti-capitalism. It is a modern Lilliputian tale meant to be an allegory for an unspeakable truth much like the original Gulliver’s Travels.

Spoilers follow after here.

The director used science fiction and progressive tropes to make a mockery of the progressivism without losing (((movie distribution rights))) for being anti-progressive.

The story is an allegory of the insanity to which the USA and the world are progressing through the eyes of an American Everyman who represents the American public.

The technology for downsizing comes from Scandinavia in this movie, which is rather an odd claim for a movie made in a country (USA) which invented almost every technology in your room. This refers to how progressives view Scandinavia as the source of all human progress including technological progress.

Next, we hear about how by using this new piece of technology (at a high personal cost) you are helping the environment and fighting consumerist capitalism without the needing to stop consuming. But common people finally make the choice because they can become rich overnight by needing less. Little is mentioned about how things are cheaper after downsizing because the slaves of the big world make them. This is a satirical commentary on how progressives want to be anticapitalist consumerist environmentalists living in wealth and abundance by outsourcing all production to invisible foreign slaves who pollute the external world.

Then a contrast is shown between the Vietnamese woman, whom the TV news claims, is an environmental activist but in fact is not an environmentalist at all. She was protesting a government forced eviction of her villagers, and was downsized in prison against her will and lost her leg trying to escape in a parcel box.

The naive Everyman loses his wife trying to become rich overnight by downsizing. The wife did not have the balls to undergo the lifestyle change.

Then our hero tries to date downsized single moms and realizes they are difficult like everyone else. Being progressive didn’t improve his chances with women. Nor are progressive single moms easy, good-looking and loose.

Then the everyman meets a smalltime Scandinavian smuggler cum socialite who downsized to become rich too. He smuggles small cigars made by big slaves in Serbia. At his party Everyman meets the first baby grown to become a teenager among the Small, who the socialite reveals to be having sex with all genders and animals. This again is an allegory of how the progressives are all selfish hypocrites and decadent at the core.

Then our hero everyman meets the Vietnamese environmental activist who he expected to be giving speeches and preaching environmentalism but works as a maid in the smuggler’s house and lives and tries to help her poor neighbors. The everyman also helps her neighbors because of the guilt of not being able to fix the prosthetics of her amputated leg. ( This is probably an allegory about the failed American military intervention in Vietnamese politics, and how the Vietnamese communists tried to force certain political views on its people against their will.)

Then the smugglers invite Everyman to go to Scandinavia to help with smuggling, and the Vietnamese woman joins too having been invited by, the Scandinavian inventor of downsizing, back when she lost her leg. (This is an allegory for the Scandinavian utopia – a place where progressive heroes go to after heroic deeds)

While in Scandinavian Lilliput the visitors from the USA realize the place is a cult run by the scientist who plans to take an entire village of bearded, braided Viking-looking Scandinavians underground for 8000 years so as to survive the human extinction caused by climate change.

The smuggler and the Vietnamese activist don’t want to go underground for hiding saying the cult will probably kill each other underground long before humans go extinct. The American almost goes underground but at the last minute decides to not go full progressive retard like the Scandinavian kumbaya singing progressives.